AI Capabilities Double Every 7 Months: A Stunning Advancement

A groundbreaking study reveals the astonishing pace of improvement in large language models (LLMs). By measuring model success rates on tasks of varying lengths, researchers found that the task length at which models achieve a 50% success rate doubles every 7 months. This exponential growth in AI's ability to handle complex tasks suggests a future where AI tackles previously unimaginable challenges. While the study has limitations, such as the representativeness of the task suite, it offers a novel perspective on understanding AI progress and predicting future trends.