Is AGI Here? No, It's 'Jagged AGI'

Recent AI models like OpenAI's o3 and Google's Gemini 2.5 Pro show stunning advancements, even completing complex tasks like marketing campaigns and website building. Economist Tyler Cowen suggests this signifies the arrival of AGI. However, the article argues these AIs exhibit uneven capabilities, excelling in some areas while failing at simple ones – a concept termed 'Jagged AGI'. This uncertainty makes the definition and impact of AGI unclear, suggesting its application and societal integration could be a lengthy process, or potentially see rapid adoption. The future remains uncertain.