Higher IQ Correlates With More Accurate Predictions and Better Decision-Making

A University of Bath study reveals a strong link between higher IQ and more accurate predictions. Individuals with higher IQs (top 2.5%) make significantly fewer forecasting errors than those with lower IQs (bottom 2.5%), more than double the inaccuracy. This research, using data from the English Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSA), focused on predicting life expectancy. The study controlled for lifestyle, health, and genetics, highlighting the independent impact of intelligence on probabilistic reasoning and decision-making across various life aspects, from finances to health choices. The findings suggest that clearer communication of probabilities in areas like finance and health could improve decision-making for individuals prone to forecasting errors.