Sharp Drop in US International Arrivals: A Data-Driven Investigation
Analyzing data from the CBP's Average Wait Time website, the author reveals a significant decline of over 10% in foreign travelers to the US since March. To validate the data's reliability, the author compared it to US traveler data, finding that only foreign arrivals decreased, ruling out data entry delays. While acknowledging data limitations and seasonal factors, the trend warrants attention, hinting at potential policy or other influences. The author uses San Antonio theft data as a parallel example, highlighting the need for caution in analyzing early data and accounting for potential biases and incomplete data sets. This detailed analysis underscores the importance of rigorous data verification before drawing conclusions.
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