The Uncertain Future of AI: A Double-Edged Sword
Despite their flaws, AI systems continue to impress with their ability to replicate certain human skills. Progress in areas like natural language understanding, program writing, and bug detection has been astonishingly rapid. However, due to limited understanding of LLMs and other deep learning models, and wildly inaccurate expert predictions, the future trajectory of AI remains unclear. While a plateau is possible, it would likely spur further research. If AI becomes significantly more useful and independent of humans, it will be a revolution unlike any before. Yet current market reactions are akin to those of a trained parrot, blindly optimistic. If AI replaces a significant portion of the workforce, the economic system will face a severe test. In the future, AI may become a commodity, or governments may intervene. Ultimately, AI could reshape economic prosperity and even drive humanity toward a different economic system.
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