AI/LLM Predictions: 1, 3, and 6 Years Out

Simon Willison shared his predictions for AI/LLM development over the next 1, 3, and 6 years on the Oxide and Friends podcast. He anticipates that general-purpose AI agents won't materialize soon, but code and research assistants will flourish. Within three years, AI-assisted investigative reporting could win a Pulitzer Prize, alongside stricter privacy laws. Six years out, AI might produce amazing art, but could also lead to widespread civil unrest depending on the development and economic impact of AGI/ASI. Willison emphasizes his low confidence in these predictions, offering them as an interesting point of future reflection.