AI 2027: A Race to Superintelligence and the Risks Involved

This report predicts that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. OpenAI and others have modeled two possible futures: a slow-down scenario and a race. The report details the rapid advancement of AI systems, from the clumsy agents of early 2025 to superintelligences by 2027 capable of surpassing humans in coding and research. However, this rapid development also presents immense risks, including model safety and an AI arms race with China. The report highlights the profound impact of AI on the job market and geopolitics, and explores potential mitigation strategies.