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Strong Links vs. Weak Links: The Plight of Science

2025-02-08

This article explores the concepts of 'strong-link problems' and 'weak-link problems'. Weak-link problems, such as food safety, depend on the quality of the worst link; strong-link problems, like scientific progress, depend on the quality of the best link. Many mistakenly treat science as a weak-link problem, focusing excessively on preventing poor research, thereby stifling groundbreaking work. The author argues that this stems from the intense competition and status concerns within academia, ultimately leading to stagnation in scientific progress.

Doomsday Predictions: Why People Always Feel the End is Nigh

2024-12-18

From Columbus's time onward, doomsday predictions have accompanied humanity. The author argues that people believe in them not for comfort, but because they seem logical. A 'Good Cup Bad Cup' theory is introduced: people pay more attention to bad things, and negative memories fade faster, leading to a perception that bad things are increasing and the world is deteriorating. Historical examples, from ancient Egyptian prophecies to the Millerite movement, support this: people always feel the present is worse than the past. The author calls for a rational perspective, urging readers to avoid biases and recognize positive changes.