The Focusing Illusion: Why We Overestimate Success's Impact on Happiness
2024-12-21
Psychological research reveals we often mispredict what will make us happy in the future. A specific instance of this "affective forecasting error" is the "focusing illusion": the things we focus on achieving often don't bring the happiness we expect. This article offers an evolutionary explanation: the focusing illusion isn't a cognitive flaw, but a mechanism to motivate us to improve our circumstances. Because our experience of pleasure habituates (hedonic adaptation), foreseeing this adaptation could sap motivation. Evolution thus makes us naively believe the next achievement will bring lasting joy, driving our pursuit of goals.