AGI in 2045? Founders of Mechanize Bet on Explosive Economic Growth, Not an Intelligence Explosion

Dwarkesh Patel interviews Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu, co-founders of Mechanize, a startup focused on fully automating work. They offer a contrarian view on AI timelines, downplaying the likelihood of an 'intelligence explosion' and emphasizing instead the potential for explosive economic growth driven by AI. They argue that progress requires broad technological advancements across multiple sectors, not just increased computing power. While they predict full automation of remote work by 2045, they believe AI will fundamentally reshape the global economy and societal norms.