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China's CO2 Emissions Fall in First Half of 2025, But Challenges Remain

2025-08-23

China's carbon dioxide emissions fell by 1% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, driven by strong growth in clean energy, extending a decline that began in March 2024. The power sector, a major emissions source, saw a 3% drop in CO2 output, with solar power growth offsetting increased electricity demand. However, rapid expansion in the coal-to-chemicals industry added to emissions, posing a challenge to China's carbon peaking goals. Despite the emissions decrease, China is likely to miss several climate targets, highlighting the need for more ambitious goals in its upcoming Nationally Determined Contribution and 15th Five-Year Plan.

China's Clean Energy Growth Causes First Ever CO2 Emission Drop

2025-05-16

New analysis reveals China's CO2 emissions fell 1.6% year-on-year in Q1 2025 and 1% over the past 12 months. This is attributed to growth in wind, solar, and nuclear power exceeding electricity demand growth, leading to reduced coal-fired power generation. Despite this, emissions remain slightly below the peak, and any short-term fluctuations could cause emissions to rise again. The future trajectory depends heavily on China's clean energy targets in its next five-year plan and its economic response to US trade policy.