Asteroid 2024 YR4 Impact Probability Significantly Reduced

2025-02-23
Asteroid 2024 YR4 Impact Probability Significantly Reduced

NASA continues to monitor the trajectory of asteroid 2024 YR4. Initial calculations suggested a 1.3% chance of Earth impact, rising briefly to 3.1%, but recent analysis shows this probability has dropped significantly to 0.28%. However, there's now a 1% chance of a lunar impact. The University of Hawaii's ATLAS system detected this near-Earth object, and its trajectory continues to be monitored. While the risk is currently very low, NASA will continue observations using the James Webb Space Telescope and other assets.