Earth's Future: Venus Lite or Something Else?

2025-09-22
Earth's Future: Venus Lite or Something Else?

A new study simulates Earth's fate 3.5 billion years from now when large-scale subduction ceases. Even in the best-case scenario, the simulations show Earth's surface temperature exceeding 100 degrees Celsius, turning into a boiling planet. However, even with increased atmospheric CO2, Earth wouldn't reach Venus's extreme levels. This suggests Venus's hellish state may result from a unique catastrophic event rather than simple runaway greenhouse effect. This research challenges prior assumptions and significantly contributes to our understanding of the terminal state of rocky planets.